Stock of the Day

July 19, 2023

Ford Motor (F)

$9.29
-$0.11 (-1.1%)
Market Cap: $37.22B

About Ford Motor

Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services a range of Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro; Ford Next; and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. It also engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. In addition, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Further, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. The company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.

Ford Motor Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Ford Motor:

  • Ford Motor has a current stock price of $9.35, which is below its 1-year high of $14.85, indicating potential for price appreciation.
  • The company recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.39, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.35, showcasing strong financial performance.
  • Ford Motor offers a quarterly dividend of $0.15, translating to an annualized dividend of $0.60, which provides a yield of approximately 6.42%, appealing to income-focused investors.
  • With a return on equity of 16.88%, Ford Motor demonstrates effective management of shareholder equity, which can be a positive indicator for potential investors.
  • The stock has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.40, suggesting that it may be undervalued compared to its earnings, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Ford Motor Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Ford Motor for these reasons:

  • Analysts have mixed ratings on Ford Motor, with three analysts issuing sell ratings, indicating some skepticism about the stock's future performance.
  • The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.31, which suggests that it relies heavily on debt financing, potentially increasing financial risk.
  • Wells Fargo recently lowered their price target for Ford Motor to $8.00, reflecting a bearish outlook from some analysts.
  • The stock's beta of 1.63 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, which may deter risk-averse investors.
  • Ford Motor's current ratio of 1.16, while above 1, suggests that the company has only a slight buffer to cover its short-term liabilities, which could be a concern for liquidity.

EV Mixed Signals: Sales Are Rising, But Inventory Slower To Move

Written By Kate Stalter on 7/10/2023

Electric car recharging with charge cable and plug leading to charge point

Sales of electric vehicles are continuing to grow, but at a slower pace, according to Cox Automotive, which provides marketing and financing services to the auto industry.

The EV industry is certainly sending some mixed messages. Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) said on July 6 that second-quarter sales were higher, driven by increases in its F-series of pickup trucks.

However, sales declined by 2.8% as supplies of the electric Mustang Mach-E were short.

Inventory Slower To Roll Out Of Lots

So while Ford is saying its premier EV was in short supply, Cox was saying dealers overall were seeing inventory moving off the lots at a slower pace. 

Ford’s also said sales of its electric pickup, the F-150 Lightning, rose 118.7% year-over-year. However, some analysts pointed out that because the vehicle is so new to the market, having been available since May 2022, it’s not a surprise to see such rapid growth. 

Sales of the Mustang Mach-E, saw sales fall 21.1% from last year’s second quarter. That follows a drop of 20% in the first quarter. A Ford spokesman told EV trade publication Elektrek that the company expects inventory flow to improve at the end of the second quarter. 

Ford said last year that it was making upgrades to its plant in Mexico, which produces the Mach-E. It warned that those upgrades would result in production slowdowns. 

Ford reports its second quarter on July 27, after the closing bell. 

Meanwhile, at an industry event, an economist from Cox Automotive revealed that dealer inventory of EVs was rising faster than sales, while traditional internal-combustion engine cars were moving off lots faster.

Cost & Charging Stations Among Roadblocks

Certainly, there are roadblocks to a quicker pace of EV adoption, the main challenges being EVs’ cost and the availability of charging stations. While the EV industry works hard to promote lower operational costs over time, the harsh reality is: Consumers have to shell out more upfront to buy an EV. In a paycheck-to-paycheck world, that makes a big difference. 

Cox’s data show a 342% increase in weekly EV dealer inventory over the year-ago quarter. At the same time, manufacturers are rolling out new EV models at a fast clip. 

As you might guess, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) remains the EV sales leader, with a U.S. market share of about 60%. Its revenue growth decelerated in the past two quarters, but the company has been slashing prices to move more product. 

Earlier this month, Tesla said that in the second quarter, it delivered a record 466,140 vehicles, ahead of analysts’ expectations. 

Tesla is due to report full second-quarter results after the market’s close on July 19. 

More EVs Being Registered

EV industry publications say publicly available data show that 7.1% of vehicles registered in January 2023 were all-electric. That’s a 74% year-over-year increase.

Another development could be worrisome for the EV industry, which is investing in EV technologies to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars. Online automotive search engine iSeeCars found that EV and plug-in hybrid sales are dropping on the West Coast, the area that’s driven the adoption of electrification. 

Much of the hurry to roll out EVs is driven by the federal government and in some cases, state governments. For example, in April, the federal Environmental Protection Agency floated a rule that after model year 2027, about two-thirds of new cars would have to be electric. 

Government Targets Too Aggressive?

However, according to reports, the auto industry, despite its enthusiasm and heavy investment in EVs, is letting the federal government know that this, and other targets, may be overly aggressive. The auto industry is concerned about the realities of supplying batteries for cars, as well as infrastructure concerns and the willingness of consumers to make the shift so quickly. 

While the EV supply chain is stabilizing and readying itself for the inevitable time when EVs overtake internal-combustion engines in sales, there’s clearly a gap right now between reality and expectations.

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