Stock of the Day

February 28, 2025

PepsiCo (PEP)

$153.47
+$1.45 (+1.0%)
Market Cap: $208.50B

About PepsiCo

PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through seven segments: Frito-Lay North America; Quaker Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; Latin America; Europe; Africa, Middle East and South Asia; and Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China Region. It provides dips, cheese-flavored snacks, and spreads, as well as corn, potato, and tortilla chips; cereals, rice, pasta, mixes and syrups, granola bars, grits, oatmeal, rice cakes, and side dishes; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; ready-to-drink tea, coffee, and juices; dairy products; and sparkling water makers and related products, as well as distributes alcoholic beverages under Hard MTN Dew brand. The company offers its products primarily under the Lay's, Doritos, Fritos, Tostitos, BaiCaoWei, Cheetos, Cap'n Crunch, Life, Pearl Milling Company, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker, Rice-A-Roni, Aquafina, Bubly, Emperador, Diet Mountain Dew, Diet Pepsi, Gatorade Zero, Crush, Propel, Dr Pepper, Schweppes, Marias Gamesa, Ruffles, Sabritas, Saladitas, Tostitos, 7UP, Diet 7UP, H2oh!, Manzanita Sol, Mirinda, Pepsi Black, Pepsi Max, San Carlos, Toddy, Walkers, Chipsy, Kurkure, Sasko, Spekko, White Star, Smith's, Sting, SodaStream, Lubimyj Sad, Agusha, Chudo, Domik v Derevne, Lipton, and other brands. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, and others through a network of direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and distributor networks, as well as directly to consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Purchase, New York.

PepsiCo Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in PepsiCo, Inc.:

  • PepsiCo, Inc. has a diverse product portfolio, including popular brands like Gatorade, Aquafina, and Mountain Dew, which helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in specific product categories.
  • The company has shown strong financial performance, with a recent stock price of $180, indicating robust investor confidence and potential for capital appreciation.
  • PepsiCo, Inc. is actively expanding its product offerings in the health and wellness segment, which aligns with current consumer trends towards healthier eating and drinking options.
  • With a strong global presence, PepsiCo, Inc. benefits from economies of scale and can leverage its extensive distribution network to reach a wide range of consumers effectively.
  • The company has a history of consistent dividend payments, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors looking for reliable returns.

PepsiCo Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in PepsiCo, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Increased competition in the beverage and snack industry could pressure profit margins, as new entrants and established brands vie for market share.
  • Rising costs of raw materials and supply chain disruptions may negatively impact profitability, especially in a volatile economic environment.
  • Shifts in consumer preferences towards healthier options may lead to declining sales in traditional sugary beverages, which still represent a significant portion of PepsiCo, Inc.'s revenue.
  • The company's reliance on a few key brands for a large portion of its revenue could pose risks if those brands experience a decline in popularity.
  • Regulatory challenges and potential changes in health-related policies could impact product formulations and marketing strategies, affecting overall sales.

Volatility Is Back: 3 Stocks To Cushion the S&P 500's Swings

Written By Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli on 2/27/2025

Finance stock board with graph market volatility — Photo

Regimes are changing in the market, and this could mean a few things, but today, it means that volatility is back. Whenever these shifts come, specifically to the S&P 500 index, investors tend to decrease their exposure to riskier stocks to look for more defensive names in the market to cushion some of the risks that come with these volatility spikes.

This is where names in the consumer staples sector usually come into play. These stable and predictable business models and product lines usually carry low betas, compressing the volatility that comes with them even with a broader market selloff like the one experienced in recent weeks. Therefore, they are more attractive buy targets for investors to consider, which is why today’s list is important as well.

By keeping an eye on names like Realty Income Co. (NYSE: O) to represent a portfolio of stable and predictable holdings in the real estate sector or other product offerings like tobacco and convenience names through Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) and even a staples beverage brand of soda like PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: PEP) all align to offer investors some of this perceived safety that will be chased as volatility shows it’s here to stay for a little while longer.

Realty Income Offers Investors a Compounding Chance

Investors can see the benefits of holding Realty Income stock, not only through its low volatility profile but also because of its income potential. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), Realty Income offers shareholders a payout of up to $3.21 per share today.

This not only represents a dividend yield of as much as 5.7%, but investors also benefit from this payout being issued monthly rather than the typical quarterly payouts that other companies choose to use instead. Even with these attractive features, the stock trades cheaply enough at 86% of its 52-week high to offer a double-digit upside.

such as the one being called for by analysts from Stifel Nicolaus, who decided to not only reiterate their buy rating on Realty Income stock as of January 2025 but also place a valuation of up to $66 per share on it. Now, this price target would represent a new 52-week high on the stock and also a net upside of as much as 18% from where it trades today.

Institutional Capital Chose Altria Group Stock

As of February 2025, reports show that allocators from the Royal Bank of Canada decided to boost their holdings in Altria Group stock by as much as 17.4%, bringing their net position to a high of $466.8 million today. This is a bullish sign of confidence that investors should consider in this new flight to safer names amid volatility.

However bullish this may seem, it’s not the best feature that Altria stock brings to the table today. Like Realty Income, this company’s stability and predictability also enable its management to offer its shareholders a dividend payout of as much as $4.08 per share today.

Considering today’s prices, which are a bullish 95% of their 52-week highs, Altria Group stock’s dividend would translate into an annualized yield of up to 7.44% to beat inflation and make up for any further volatility that the S&P 500 index may bring to portfolios in the coming months.

Pepsi Stock’s Discount Won’t Last Forever

Even though Pepsi stock now trades at 83% of its 52-week high, which may not seem that bearish at all, other valuation metrics show that the company offers a value entry like no other in the past seven years. When considered from a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) basis, today’s 18.3x multiple falls into the bottom range of regular valuations.

A multiple closer to 23.0x on a forward P/E basis would be normal for Pepsi stock, showing investors how this household name with a low beta can be a perfect addition to this volatility compression portfolio strategy today. Then, there was the recent collapse of the company's bearish sentiment.

Investors can note that up to 22.9% of Pepsi’s short interest collapsed over the past month alone, a clear sign of bearish capitulation in the face of a bullish skew in the stock's risk-to-reward ratio. This could be especially the case as analysts from Citigroup reiterate their buy rating on Pepsi stock, this time also keeping a valuation of up to $170 per share on the name.

Calling for the stock to flirt with its 52-week high of $183.4 per share, these analysts imply that Pepsi can deliver up to 12.2% from where it trades today, bringing an unusual double-digit upside potential in a defensive name.

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